The path to control of the House of Representatives could very well run through New York. Democrats and Republicans are aggressively contesting seven swing districts. Thanks to the GOP’s better-than-expected performance in the 2022 midterms, Republicans currently control five of those districts, while Democrats control the remaining two.
Four of those seven races have been called by the AP. Democratic Rep. Pat Ryan held on to his seat in the Hudson Valley’s 18th Congressional District, fending off a challenge from Republican Alison Esposito, who ran for lieutenant governor in 2022 on the GOP ticket. In the neighboring 19th Congressional District, Democrat Josh Riley defeated Republican Rep. Marc Molinaro in what was most expensive congressional race in the country. On Long Island’s 1st Congressional District, Republican Rep. Nick LaLota defeated former CNN anchor John Avlon to win reelection. In Central New York, Democratic state Sen. John Mannion defeated Republican Rep. Brandon Williams to flip the 22nd Congressional District blue.
On Long Island, Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi declared victory over Republican challenger Mike LiPetri in the 3rd Congressional District and Democrat Lauren Gillen declared victory over Republican Rep. Anthony D’Esposito in the 4th Congressional District, though neither race has been called by the AP yet. In the Hudson Valley’s 17th Congressional District, Republican Rep. Mike Lawler looks likely to hold onto his seat, defeating Democratic challenger and former Rep. Mondaire Jones.
Gov. Kathy Hochul, who has worked with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand on Democrats’ strategy to take back the House, said last week that she expects Democrats to flip at least three of the five GOP-held swing districts.
In addition to the competitive races below, the expected House winners for the Democrats, along with district number, are: Greg Meeks (5th District), Grace Meng (6th District), Nydia Velázquez (7th District), Hakeem Jeffries (8th District), Yvette Clarke (9th District), Dan Goldman (10th District), Jerry Nadler (12th District), Adriano Espaillat (13th District), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (14th District), Ritchie Torres (15th District), George Latimer (16th District), Paul Tonko (20th District), Joseph Morelle (25th District) and Tim Kennedy (26th District).
And the expected Republican winners are: Andrew Garbarino (2nd District), Nicole Malliotakis (11th District), Elise Stefanik (21st District), Nick Langworthy (23rd District) and Claudia Tenney (24th District).
1st District
Suffolk County
Nick LaLota (R, C): 53.18%
John Avlon (D, Common Sense Suffolk): 42.23%
With 561 of 561 election districts reported
3rd District
Nassau and Suffolk counties
Tom Suozzi (D, Common Sense): 48.78%
Mike LiPetri (R, C): 46.30%
With 573 of 573 election districts reported
4th District
Nassau County
Laura Gillen (D, Common Sense): 48.69%
Anthony D’Esposito (R, C): 47.05%
With 583 of 583 election districts reported
17th District
Rockland, Westchester, Putnam and Dutchess counties
Mike Lawler (R, C): 50.60%
Mondaire Jones (D): 43.91%
Anthony Frascone (WFP): 1.90%
With 676 of 681 election districts reported
18th District
Dutchess, Ulster and Orange counties
Pat Ryan (D, WFP): 54.53%
Alison Esposito (R, C): 41.83%
With 549 out of 586 election districts reported
19th District
Hudson Valley and Southern Tier, including Binghamton and Ithaca
Josh Riley (D, WFP): 48.99%
Marc Molinaro (R, C): 47.99%
With 655 out of 656 election districts reported
22nd District
Central New York, including Syracuse
John Mannion (D, WFP): 52.59%
Brandon Williams (R, C): 44.57%
With 685 out of 685 election districts reported
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